ASIAN ENERGY SECURITY CONFERENCE

Regional Cooperation in the Malacca Strait


A follow-up conference of the “International Cooperation in the War against Terror
in the Asia-Pacific Region with a Special Emphasis on the Malacca Strait” Workshop

Organized by: Center for International Security and Strategic Studies, Mississippi State University

In Cooperation with Center for U.S.-Japan Studies and Cooperation, Institute for Public Policy Studies, Vanderbilt University and Okazaki Institute, Japan

 

Sponsored by:

Japan Foundation Center for Global Partnership;

Lynde and Harry Bradley Foundation;

Smith Richardson Foundation; and

Vice President for Research and Economic Development, Mississippi State University

 

 

Executive Summary [pdf] | Biographies [pdf]

 

Executive Summary 

 

The Asia-Pacific is one of the most economically dynamic regions in the world and is the driver for global economic growth and development, which is based predominantly on seaborne trade. India, China, Japan, Korea and Taiwan are the main engines of economic growth in Asia; however, they have to rely to a great extent on seaborne energy imports, coming mainly from the Middle East. The shipping route from the Persian Gulf to Asia must first pass through the Strait of Malacca before it enters the South China Sea, where it branches out northwards to East Asia and the West Coast of the U.S., southwards to Singapore and Australia. Therefore, it is an important national security issue, for both Asian countries and the United States, that the energy flow from the Indian Ocean, through the Malacca Strait, to the South China Sea not be disrupted.

 

The central theme of the conference is to examine the maritime security implications of Asia’s energy demand. As the majority of Asia’s energy supplies are imported, the maritime transportation industry is a significant factor in the supply of global energy. The viability of the shipping industry, the vulnerability of specific types of ships to attack, port security issues, and the economic consequences of disruptions to the energy supply chain will be examined in order to provide a risk assessment for policy makers. As the security of energy flow against attack or disruption varies, according to the physical geography and the geo-political strategic environment of specific shipping routes, the potential vulnerabilities of shipping along these routes will be examined. Having identified the varied range of vulnerabilities affecting energy flows, various mechanisms will be proposed, in order to improve both maritime transportation security and resolve the problematic maritime geography that has competing claims over national sovereignty.

 

The Conference will deal also with sea-lane and ocean security on both sides of the strait, meaning: A) from the oil- and gas-rich Persian Gulf to the Andaman Sea at the western entrance to the strait, B) from the South China Sea, at the eastern entrance to the strait to Northeast Asia. This route is, and will remain a strategic trade and energy artery for Japan, the U.S., Australia, and China. India will be included, given its close ties with the U.S., the growing Japanese security and economic interest in India, and India’s own struggle with Islamist terrorism The organizers of the Conference, the Center for International Security and Strategic Studies, Mississippi State University (CISS), its partners, the Center for U.S.-Japan Studies and Cooperation (CJSC) at Vanderbilt University, and Tokyo-based Okazaki Institute (OI) are planning a two-day Conference to be held on October 1-2, 2007, in Jackson, MS. At the conclusion, we will compile a final report on the findings and recommendations of the Conference’s Multidisciplinary Study Group. The complete material of the conference will be disseminated to interested parties and Government agencies, NGOs and academia, and it will be incorporated into the CISS, CJSC and OI homepages on the Internet.

 


Agenda
 

Day 1:    Monday, October 1, 2007
Location: Windsor I, Marriott Hotel

 

8:15        Opening Remarks/Introductions

Dr. János Radványi, Chair of Radványi Chair in International Security Studies, and Executive Director of Center for International Security and Strategic Studies, Mississippi State University


8:25-9:00     Welcoming Remarks

Dr. Robert “Doc” H. Foglesong, President, Mississippi State University and General, US Air Force (Retired) [welcome in pdf]
Major General Harold A. Cross, Adjutant General of Mississippi [welcome in pdf]
Vice Minister Shotaro Yachi, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Japan [Message presented by Minister Akitaka Saiki]  [welcome in pdf]
Ambassador Dennis Richardson, Ambassador, Embassy of Australia, Washington, D.C. [Message presented by Mr. Andrew Forbes]   [welcome in pdf]

Session 1:  Energy Demand and Supply

This session will be an overview of both the current and the 20-30 year forecast for global energy supply and demand. The overview will cover all forms of energy (oil, gas, coal, nuclear), but the individual country presentations will focus primarily on seaborne oil and gas. Topics covered will be each country’s current and future energy demand and the country’s reliance on imported energy from the Middle East.

Co-Chairs: 
Dr. Robert “Doc” H. Foglesong, President of Mississippi State University and General, US Air Force (Retired)
Minister and Consul Carlos Sorreta, Acting Deputy Chief of Mission & Economic Minister, Embassy of Philippines


9:00      General Overview [paper in pdf  |  presentation in pdf]
            Ms. Juli MacDonald, Senior Associate, Booz Allen Hamilton, McLean, VA


9:20      Japan’s Concern over Maritime Energy Security [ paper in pdf ]
            Minister Akitaka Saiki, Deputy Chief of Mission, Embassy of Japan, Washington, D.C.


9:40      China’s Growing Need for Energy Supply [paper in pdf  |  presentation in pdf]
            Dr. Wenran Jiang, Acting Director, China Institute, University of Alberta, Canada


10:00-10:30     Open Discussion


10:30-10:50     Coffee Break


10:50        Taiwan’s Energy Sources [paper in pdf]
                Dr. John Tkacik, Senior Research Fellow, Asian Studies, Heritage Foundation, Washington, D.C.


11:10        ASEAN Countries’ Interest in Asian Energy Security [paper in pdf  |  presentation in pdf]
                Dr. Andrew Tian Huat Tan, Associate Professor, University of New South Wales, Australia


11:30-12:15     Open Discussion FOR SESSION 1


12:15-13:30     Luncheon
 

Session 2:  Transportation Security and Shipping Routes

This session will examine transportation issues (shipping and ports) that are vital to seaborne energy imports, and what energy security concerns mean for the tanker market (size and numbers). This session will also cover the impact of a bioterrorist attack on shipping and potential remedial measures. This session also will examine the vulnerabilities and threats to shipping along each specific route. This will include attacks by state and non-state actors (piracy or terrorism), geo-political issues in the future that might threaten supplies, as well as geographic issues (chokepoints) that are vulnerable to attack.

Co-Chairs:
Admiral Thomas B. Fargo (Retired), Former Commander of the U.S. Pacific Command
Vice Admiral Eduardo Ma R Santos (Retired), President, Maritime Academy of Asia and the Pacific (MAAP), Philippines

 

13:30     The Economic Impact of Disruptions to Energy Flows   [paper in pdf]
             Mr. Andrew Forbes, Deputy Director (Research), Sea Power Centre-Australia, Canberra, Australia


13:50     Port Security and Economic Consequences of Attack  [paper in pdf  |  presentation in pdf]
             Mr. Nazery Khalid, Maritime Institute of Malaysia (MIMA)


14:10     The Impact of a Bioterrorist Attack on Shipping and Potential Remedial Measures  [paper in pdf presentation in pdf]
             Dr. Lewis Brown, Professor Emeritus of Microbiology, Mississippi State University


14:30-15:00     Open Discussion


15:00-15:20     Coffee Break


15:20     Sea-lane and Energy Security Lifeline between the Persian Gulf and Asia  [paper in pdf]
             Mr. Michael Richardson, Visiting Senior Research Fellow, Institute of Southeast Asian Studies


15:40     East China/Yellow Sea Navigation Security  [paper in pdf  |  presentation in pdf]
             Dr. Choon Kun Lee, Vice-President of the Korea Center for Free Enterprise, Korea


16:00-17:00     Open Discussion FOR SESSION 2

 

18:30 Banquet


Introduction of Keynote Speaker:

Major General Harold A. Cross, Adjutant General of Mississippi

Keynote Speaker:

Admiral Thomas B. Fargo (Retired), Former Commander of the U.S. Pacific Command


Topic:

Securing Asia’s Sea Lanes   [paper in pdf]

Location: University Club

 

 

Day 2, Tuesday, October 2, 2007
Location: Windsor I, Marriott Hotel

 

Session 3:  Roles of Navies and Coast Guards

This session will examine how the Japanese, U.S., Australian, Indian and the ASEAN countries’ navies

and coast guards can effectively guarantee shipping safety and security.

Co-Chairs:

Rear Admiral Sumihiko Kawamura (JMSDF, Retired), Vice President, The Okazaki Institute, Japan
Counselor BaekSoon Lee, Political, Embassy of Republic of Korea

 

8:20      Comprehensive Security, Integrating Maritime Energy Security and

            Maritime Safety, Bilateral vs. Multilateral Arrangements  [paper in pdf  |  presentation in pdf]
            Dr. Stanley Weeks, Senior Scientist, SAIC, McLean, VA


8:40      Naval Control of Shipping  [paper in pdf  |  presentation in pdf]
            Commander Andrew Brown, Royal Australian Naval Reserve (RANR)


9:00      Scope of Regional Concerted Efforts for Total Security of Vital International

            SLOCs in Indian through West Pacific Ocean  [paper in pdf  |  presentation in pdf]
            Vice Admiral Hideaki Kaneda (Retired), Director, The Okazaki Institute, Japan


9:20-9:50     Open Discussion


9:50-10:10     Coffee Break


10:10     Cooperation Among the Littoral and User States’ Navies and Coast Guards

             to Safeguard Shipping through the Malacca Strait  [paper in pdf]
             Rear Admiral Rosihan Arsyad (Retired), Chairman, Institute for Maritime Studies, Indonesia


10:30     Indian Ocean Shipping Safety  [paper in pdf]
             Commander P.K. Ghosh, Senior Research Fellow, National Maritime Foundation, India


10:50-11:30     Open Discussion FOR SESSION 3
 

11:30 LUNCHEON ADDRESS

Introduction of Speaker:

Dr. Kirk Schulz, Vice President for Research and Economic Development, Mississippi State University


Speaker:

Vice Admiral Eduardo Ma-R Santos (Retired), President, Maritime Academy of Asia and the Pacific (MAAP), Kamaya Point, Marivales Bataan, Philippines


Topic:

Abu Sayaff and Its Capability to Threaten the Energy Sea-lanes   [paper in pdf  |  presentation in pdf]

Location: Windsor II, Marriott Hotel


 

Session 4:  Findings and Report

Panel on Suggestions for Enhancing Asian Energy Security to improve both the maritime transportation security and ensure the continued flow of critical energy imports to Asia-Pacific Region.

Co-Chairs:

Dr. James E. Auer, Director, Center for U.S.-Japan Studies and Cooperation, Institute for Public Policy Studies, Vanderbilt University

Dr. Andrew Tan, Associate Professor, University of New South Wales
 

 

13:30     Guideline Formulation and Recommendations
             (Break for the rest of the participants)



Executive Committee:
Chair:     Dr. James E. Auer
RAdm Rosihan Arsyad
Mr. Andrew Forbes
Cmdr P.K. Ghosh
Dr. Wenran Jiang
VAdm Hideaki Kaneda
Mr. Nazery Khalid
Dr. Choon Kun Lee
Mr. Michael Richardson
Dr. Andrew Tan
Mr. John Tkacik
Dr. Stanley Weeks
 


14:30     Discussion on Guideline Recommendations
             (All participants)


16:30     Report on Recommendations and Suggestions   [Conference Recommendations]

             Dr. James E. Auer
 


17:00     Concluding Remarks

             Dr. Kirk Schulz
             Dr. János Radványi

 

Conference Evaluator:  [Conference Evaluation]

Dr. Walter Andersen
Associate Director, South Asia Studies, The Paul H. Nitze School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS), The Johns Hopkins University